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Joined 2 年前
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Cake day: 2023年12月23日

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  • The decision of the Bundestag is not binding for the government. However some other parts of the decision:

    • officially aknowledging that Germany made a mistake in not using significantly more force when Russia invaded Georgia in 2008 and Ukraine in 2014
    • Ukraine has to win the war, which is very different language to Russia has to loose
    • using spelling of Ukranian locations in German in offical documents, rather then the still normal Russian spelling(okay not that important)
    • also I read a lot about it could mean Himars missiles instead of Taurus. The passage with the “long range weapons” thanks France and the UK for supplying SCALP, so it is basically as clear as it gets without saying Taurus.



  • Last year the EU produced 42% of its electricity with renewables. 18.9% of it with wind and 8.0% with solar. There is also a 24.5% share of nuclear, which is probably going to stay stable. That leaves 31.9% fossil fuels. So we have to a bit more then double wind and solar installations in the EU. That is entirly possible to do. Especially with offshore becoming as cheap as it is and we still have a lot of rooftops without solar.

    About storage there is a wonderfull thing called electricity grids. The worst days for wind last year wind made up a bit less then 10% of electricity production. That is of an average of 18.9% over the entire year. For solar it is worse in wind, but luckily wind makes up a lot of the rest. Combined that means that the worst days still have 13% wind + solar EU wide. So about half of average. As soon as you extend it to a week the worst ones are at something like 17% of wind + solar. So with a strong enough grid we get pretty close. As soon as you add a bit of storage to the grid and overbuilt wind and solar a bit, renewables work just fine.

    Honestly we are pretty close to solving it. Most EU countries are at over 50% clean electricity today. Even better Putin caused massive built ups of clean power generation. We are going to be fine, if we continue in that field.


  • The very simple fact is that we have enough gas right now. So Biden not permitting new LNG terminals in the US is perfectly fine for the EU. Not only that, but LNG is more expensive then pipeline gas and we are reducing gas consumption. So in the coming years we are reducing LNG consumption Also no coal will not be replaced by gas on a large scale in the electricity mix. Right now EU wide it makes up 13% of electricity production and we are adding a lot of renewables to our grid. So coal will be replaced by renewables, instead of fossil gas.

    As long as Biden does not cut LNG supply from existing infrastructure in a big way, we will be just fine. The main new customers will be in Asia.



  • Lenin, Stalin and Putin are not Romanov’s. The Russian Empire collapsed and after a long civil war the Soviet Union was born. Then the Soviet Union collapsed and after some time Putin gained power and turned Russia into the current fascists government it is today.

    The problem Russia has is that it is unpopular. So it always has to fight wars. As soon as it is too weak to do so, we see problems occur as countries try to take from Russia, what Russia has stolen. The losses Russia is having are too high for them to ignore. It is only a matter of time, that Belarus starts revolting again, Georgia and Moldova take back their land and Russia will be too weak to do something about that.