Sadly it has a pretty good chance of affecting many people who never supported him as well.

That would depend on the details of the hypothetical. Certainly if Ukraine was able to develop a credible threat with first strike survivability before Russia became aware I would expect Russia to be forced to move towards de-escalation and diplomacy because their major cities like Moscow and St. Petersburg which Putin has tried to shield completely from all effects of the war would be in danger.

Lacking that and with a credible ability to eliminate the nuclear weapon completely with a pre-emptive strike Russia would probably do it even if it meant nuclear strikes against Ukraine.

Well as soon as oil prices surged and markets dipped, Trump switched from “war could go on forever” to “almost done”. I guess it remains to be seen if it is only a rhetoric switch but if that was the case it wouldn’t help for long. The less certain thing is whether Trump can even get the strait to reopen by withdrawing at this point.

They’d care because it’s not just the poor citizens you’d sacrifice to the gods of nuclear fire but also the very important ones with money and political connections. And the stock markets would really sink, the thing that gets Trump to TACO out every time.

Of course you want as strong a deterrent as possible but from estimates I’ve read North Korea’s 10 nukes with MIRVs and decoy launches would very likely still be effective enough to extract a very serious price for invading.

Obviously if you just assume there is not even the slightest bit of rational self-interest from the actors involved, you’ve already lost humanity to nukes anyway.

There’s still a significant deterrent effect even if you’d “only” lose a few major cities worth while others stay around. There’s also potential for extended responses by other nuclear weapons states that further increase deterrence for such a scenario.

I’m not so sure about that since it’s still possible for them to hit stuff and people they care about even though they may not care about the country or its people in general.

And no doubt the S&P500 would tank so there’s that. Seems to be the one thing Trump cares about more than anything else.

Works both ways, while the USA is thinking about invading another country with nuclear weapons they have to know that will lead to nukes from that country hitting their major cities which will probably make them think twice.

Then the discussion moves to pre-emptive strikes which have the same problem if the other country already has nukes. Eventually we end up in this situation where some might see even pursuing a nuclear weapons technology as justification for a war of aggression like we’re seeing in Iran so you certainly need to be careful during that phase but once you get there you’re in a much safer place than you used to.

they exist to prevent conflict at all because everyone knows the consequences of using them.

Putin attacking Ukraine has certainly played a part here but the big and much more impactful final push for this has been NATO members losing trust in the USA and its nuclear umbrella because of Trump. After all every one of these European nations except for Ukraine which is the only non-member was happy with the NATO guarantees for a very long time before this.

The great powers got veto rights for them to participate at all in it and for them to be able to do as they please in the future. I don’t think “weaponising” is the correct framing because from the point of view of probably pretty much everyone else other than them (and of course even for them when it comes to the other ones) it would absolutely be a good thing if the UN was able to limit their actions too. The people who came up with the whole concept of international law certainly would not have preferred this situation where the law is not the same for everyone, it’s against the basic principles of rule of law.

This comment should win some kind of an award. How on earth could anyone think the history of Ukrainian culture began 30 years ago when a regime that itself had only existed for around 70 years fell apart?

Nuo Sanna Heikinheimon vastaukset tuossa jutun lopussa ovat kyllä täysin ala-arvoisia ja antavat sellaisen kuvan että suurinpiirtein halveksii toimittajaa ja ettei poliisijohto ota asiaa lainkaan vakavasti:

MOT: Kuinka ongelmallinen on tilanne, jossa valvontakamera osoittaa, että poliisi käytännössä valehtelee, poliisijohtaja Sanna Heikinheimo?

– SH: Ei se lähtökohtaisesti ole ongelmallinen tilanne. Mutta tietysti ristiriitainen tilanne ja tulee sekä esitutkinnassa että tuomioistuinkäsittelyssä harkittavaksi.

MOT: Suomessa on poliisiväkivaltaa. Mihin toimiin aiotte ryhtyä sen kitkemiseksi?

SH: – Aika paljon olemme tehneet. Emme näe tarpeelliseksi ryhtyä lisätoimenpiteisiin.

Yeah, it’s a consequence of pretending that there is no difference between the Democrats and Republicans and ending up helping Trump get in power.

It wasn’t just the invasion that needed a diplomatic solution, there was after all a war already going on in Eastern Ukraine since 2014 even if it had somewhat frozen. The Russian troop concentrations were interpreted by some like Zel as just posturing in order to bring that conflict to an end through a diplomatic solution while the previous agreements had failed.

Of course there could still have been diplomatic measures, Zelensky wanted to negotiate with the Russians until the very end and Ukraine seemed to believe Putin wouldn’t ultimately invade even when USA was saying they’re almost certainly going to and released supporting intel.

That’s not to say Russia wasn’t always in the wrong since the 2013 events of course but it doesn’t mean the Ukrainians weren’t willing to compromise on some things in 2022 just to get some normalcy.

Sekin vaikuttaa miten väärinkäytöksiin suhtaudutaan. USA:n kohdalla esimerkiksi minkäänlaiset kunnon tuomiot poliiseille on melkoinen harvinaisuus.

Haalarikameroita vihdoin toivon kyllä Suomenkin poliisille ja sillä tavalla ettei niiden käyttö ole vapaaehtoista kuten aikaisemmin suunniteltiin, nyttemmin ymmärtääkseni järkiinnytty siltä osin.

Was mostly meming about the bs Trump has been spewing by using his words about Ukraine but yeah I’m fairly convinced she would have not started an illegal war against Iran together with Israel… or let Israel completely steamroll Gaza while making plans to transform it into a holiday resort for the rich.

Also, who cares if he called the US military lethal, that’s in fact a true statement but it matters whether or not you use it to start illegal wars and settle personal grudges, rob other countries of their natural resources, kill civilians in the Caribbean or bomb schools with almost 200 little girls because the rules of engagement are “bold” etc.

It would never have happened if Kamala was the president and if it had she’d have ended it in 24 hours.

edit: looks like people have not been paying attention to Trump’s comments and/or the far lefties feel personally attacked by this, lol

This is the latest German declaration to the IAEA: https://www.iaea.org/sites/default/files/publications/documents/infcircs/1998/infcirc549a2-26.pdf

• 350kg of fresh HEU for research reactors
• 940kg of HEU in spent fuel

The former could be used for breakthrough in just a few months. The latter would take maybe 1-2 years to process first.

In addition to the credible deterrence France has, Germany actually already stockpiles highly enriched uranium that would be enough for hundreds of advanced warheads. Sweden is also well positioned to get to nuclear missiles in just a few years with a concentrated effort.